regression incoming — articles https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/ model output, explained. 2026 nfl fantasy football analysis. en-us 2026 fantasy draft strategy: the model ran the numbers so we didn't have to argue about it https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/draft-strategy-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/draft-strategy-2026/ Sat, 30 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 zero-RB, robust-RB, elite-TE, BPA: the model backtested six draft strategies across six seasons. one of them wins. the others produce second-place finishes with good vibes. 2026 rookie draft guide: vor, adp, and who the model actually trusts https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/rookie-guide-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/rookie-guide-2026/ Thu, 28 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 not every year-1 breakout candidate is real. the model ran 2026 rookies through a two-stage projection: draft capital, then landing-spot-adjusted fantasy points. here's who has signal and who has hype. DST rankings 2026: what the model says, where the market is wrong, and why it matters https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/dst-rankings-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/dst-rankings-2026/ Mon, 25 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 DST year-over-year correlation is 0.31. the market prices DSTs like it's 0.80. the model exploits that gap. SOS, coaching continuity, and turnover rate drive the rankings. kicker rankings 2026: what the model actually says https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/kicker-rankings-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/kicker-rankings-2026/ Fri, 22 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 the model ranks kickers on 40+ yard attempt share, team implied totals, and coach factor. not on name recognition. Harrison Butker is K1. the injury return problem (and what the data actually says) https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/injury-return-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/injury-return-2026/ Mon, 18 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 58 players are returning from significant injury in 2026. the standard model misprices all of them. the injury-return pathway adds confidence tiers, recovery factors, and honest uncertainty to each projection. 2026 pre-season pre-draft positional rankings: full model release (free) https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/preseason-rankings-2026/ https://regressionincoming.fyi/articles/preseason-rankings-2026/ Fri, 15 May 2026 00:00:00 -0000 full model release for 2026 preseason: 412 players (QB/RB/WR/TE), confidence scores, injury-return pathway, rookie projections. the hot takes the model is forcing us to say out loud.